Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.057894 0.068328 0.080009 0.094041 0.110429 0.128953 0.151467
2025-06-08 0.040857 0.054034 0.070441 0.092316 0.120664 0.156102 0.203714
2025-06-15 0.032474 0.046896 0.066382 0.094517 0.133970 0.187181 0.264242
2025-06-22 0.025988 0.040395 0.061233 0.093373 0.141473 0.210515 0.316815
2025-06-29 0.021059 0.034918 0.056194 0.090955 0.145996 0.229361 0.364653
2025-07-06 0.017247 0.030319 0.051499 0.087942 0.148636 0.245075 0.409090
2025-07-13 0.015188 0.028143 0.050172 0.089873 0.159040 0.273719 0.477007
2025-07-20 0.013303 0.025898 0.048303 0.090464 0.167054 0.299142 0.542424
2025-07-27 0.011766 0.023993 0.046684 0.091147 0.175129 0.325366 0.612070
2025-08-03 0.010562 0.022503 0.045565 0.092500 0.184448 0.354654 0.690378
2025-08-10 0.009711 0.021561 0.045320 0.095423 0.196985 0.391070 0.785837
2025-08-17 0.008352 0.019330 0.042189 0.092146 0.196928 0.403638 0.837161
2025-08-24 0.007442 0.017941 0.040624 0.091955 0.203262 0.429730 0.919001
2025-08-31 0.006562 0.016470 0.038672 0.090669 0.207166 0.451476 0.994847
2025-09-07 0.006059 0.015793 0.038355 0.092912 0.218905 0.490630 1.111395
2025-09-14 0.005392 0.014599 0.036678 0.091803 0.223021 0.514030 1.196831
2025-09-21 0.004738 0.013317 0.034597 0.089427 0.223886 0.530360 1.268481
2025-09-28 0.004139 0.012071 0.032411 0.086463 0.222936 0.542435 1.331792
2025-10-05 0.003856 0.011634 0.032186 0.088363 0.234005 0.583328 1.466487
2025-10-12 0.003541 0.011048 0.031489 0.088945 0.241852 0.617487 1.588994
2025-10-19 0.003262 0.010518 0.030861 0.089616 0.250009 0.653279 1.719454
2025-10-26 0.003036 0.010105 0.030495 0.090947 0.260065 0.694856 1.868897
2025-11-02 0.002884 0.009897 0.030672 0.093823 0.274643 0.749438 2.057345